Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 75110.018499 79354.560538 83601.292329 88165.938428 92930.385907 97753.562871 103002.145376
2025-05-04 68230.441185 74722.921799 81403.811479 88782.705904 96694.249834 104912.492376 114084.865765
2025-05-11 62971.196375 70963.903297 79373.374312 88861.031688 99247.060683 110250.578639 122769.206485
2025-05-18 59020.643428 68133.054582 77900.778960 89117.047986 101606.961067 115053.965036 130591.523000
2025-05-25 55705.162231 65687.168405 76563.511189 89246.478313 103579.983638 119226.497758 137546.206915
2025-06-01 53524.685634 64318.293279 76250.328449 90353.662469 106499.276975 124336.218297 145460.010441
2025-06-08 50886.546655 62252.842694 74990.998165 90239.529726 107907.696191 127644.934913 151266.629902
2025-06-15 49390.802338 61403.816987 75032.799073 91533.376199 110857.440773 132657.185075 158989.533426
2025-06-22 47750.520284 60286.767435 74676.729499 92286.775183 113119.137150 136838.028437 165737.488893
2025-06-29 45891.299838 58815.994092 73821.357097 92376.102429 114539.867508 139998.290476 171274.148643
2025-07-06 44148.513553 57405.605086 72965.511809 92397.530678 115823.994491 142958.380488 176553.324764
2025-07-13 43191.602861 56904.316331 73158.912973 93640.956715 118538.693002 147593.692282 183817.057209
2025-07-20 42231.587641 56373.170932 73301.719600 94822.778737 121198.065632 152204.250496 191123.736988
2025-07-27 41035.583746 55501.143828 72988.630553 95417.280280 123128.503839 155942.592555 197408.072871
2025-08-03 39660.445947 54350.364225 72284.013571 95487.222777 124386.031054 158852.065018 202692.317035
2025-08-10 38465.011661 53383.406662 71768.364577 95755.714686 125860.195700 162009.007562 208276.947311
2025-08-17 37279.375477 52385.838935 71175.410353 95892.268347 127143.776391 164918.155242 213558.820392
2025-08-24 36631.183456 52061.712518 71416.180250 97065.551925 129714.301705 169412.189402 220806.513483
2025-08-31 35447.343486 50992.657317 70666.291769 96944.567863 130631.933446 171849.544949 225515.336144
2025-09-07 34969.624238 50842.083706 71087.525148 98315.631536 133436.358022 176641.038650 233170.757984
2025-09-14 34275.730612 50376.626398 71077.958184 99113.898239 135503.093780 180513.808015 239698.643081
2025-09-21 33325.014709 49533.479727 70545.937682 99208.540375 136650.690061 183224.379405 244775.062258
2025-09-28 32389.520557 48682.323140 69977.156755 99231.243444 137687.551864 185786.083853 249666.775354